Population Ecology content is split across two class days. Population Ecology 1 refers to the first class meeting, while Population Ecology 2 is for the second class meeting.
Population Ecology 1 Learning Objectives:
- Define population, population size, population density, geographic range, exponential growth, logistic growth, and carrying capacity.
- Compare and distinguish between exponential and logistic population growth equations and interpret the resulting growth curves.
- Compare and contrast models of population growth in the presence and absence of carrying capacity (K)
- Analyze graphs to determine if regulation is influenced by density.
Population ecology
A population is a group of interacting organisms of the same species and includes individuals of all ages or stages: pre-reproductive juveniles and reproductive adults. Most populations have a mix of young and old individuals. Quantifying the numbers of individuals of each age or stage gives the demographic structure of the population. In addition to demographic structure, populations vary in total number of individuals, called population size, and how densely packed together those individuals are, called population density. A population’s geographic range has limits, or bounds, established by the physical limits that the species can tolerate, such as temperature or aridity, and by the encroachment of other species. Population ecologists often first consider the dynamics of population size change over time, of whether the population is growing in size, shrinking, or remaining static over time.
Exponential (or Geometric) Population Growth
The most basic approach to population growth is to begin with the assumption that every individual produces two offspring in its lifetime, then dies, which would double the population size each generation. This population doubling at each generation is how an ideal bacterium in unlimited resources would reproduce.
Because the births and deaths at each time step do not change over time, the growth rate of the population in this image is constant. Mathematically, the growth rate is the intrinsic rate of natural increase, a constant called r, for this population of size N. r is the birth rate b minus the death rate d of the population. The exponential growth equation
helps us understand the growth pattern over time t: the population size times the growth rate gives the change in population size with time.
The value r is fixed with time, but the population doesn’t grow linearly; instead every individual that was born in that generation reproduces. The population explodes in size very quickly. In nature, a population growing at this dramatic rate would quickly consume all available habitat and resources. Natural populations have size limits created by the environment.
Logistic Population Growth levels off at a carrying capacity
To consider how resource limitation affects population growth, we need to incorporate the concept of carrying capacity, the maximum population size that the environment can sustain. Any individuals born into this population would increase the population size unless deaths balanced or outnumbered births. If the population size remains the same from one generation to the next, then individuals must also be dying at a similar rate. With exponential population growth, the population growth rate r was constant, but with the addition of a carrying capacity imposed by the environment, population growth rate slows as the population size increases, and growth stops when the population reaches carrying capacity.
Mathematically, we can achieve this by incorporating a density-dependent term into the population growth equation, where K represents carrying capacity:
Now, the equation shows population growth rate r modified by the (K–N)/K term.
What happens to population growth when N is small relative to K? When N is near K? And when is the population adding the most individuals in each generation?
Population size is regulated by factors that are dependent or independent of population density
Biological and non-biological factors can influence population size. Biological factors include interspecific interactions like predation, competition, parasitism, and mutualism, as well as disease. Non-biological factors are environmental variables like temperature, precipitation, disturbance, pollution, salinity, and pH. All of these factors can change population size, but only the biological factors (except mutualism) can “regulate” a population, meaning they push the population to an equilibrium density, or carrying capacity. Of the biological factors, mutualism does not regulate population size because mutualisms promote population increase through beneficial interactions with another species.
The biological factors of competition, predation, etc. that regulate population growth affect dense versus sparse populations differently. For instance, communicable disease doesn’t spread quickly in a sparsely packed population, but in a dense population, like humans living in a college residence hall, disease can spread quickly through contact between individuals. Density plays a key role in population regulation in the following ways:
- Territoriality: Maintaining a territory will enable an individual to capture enough food to reproduce, where space is a limiting resource.
- Disease: Transmission rate often depends on population density
- Predation: Predators may concentrate on the most abundant prey
- Toxic Wastes: Metabolic by-products accumulate as populations grow
Identifying evidence of density regulation requires a field or lab experiment that manipulates density and quantifies the response in population growth. Often an (easier to measure) proxy of population growth, like survival or reproductive output, stands in as a quick metric of the births and deaths that will impact population growth. The characteristic negative correlation in the image below is evidence of density-dependent population regulation: higher densities yield lower survival.
Here’s Hank Green’s take on Population Growth to help you review these ideas:
Stop here for now and complete the IKE for Population Ecology 1.
Population Ecology 2 Learning Objectives:
- Define metapopulation, reproductive value, and life history traits.
- Identify key features of an organism’s life history and how they respond to environment/natural selection regimes.
- Calculate population (net) reproductive rate from life tables to determine if a population is growing or shrinking.
- Predict whether a population is growing, shrinking, or stable with different population growth measures (r and R0).
- Identify maximal reproductive value and explain why it changes through an organism’s lifetime.
Metapopulations are populations of the same species linked together by migration (excerpted from OpenStax CNX)
A species that is ecologically linked to a specialized, patchy habitat may likely assume the patchy distribution of the habitat itself, with several different populations distributed at different distances from each other. This is the case, for example, for species that live in wetlands, alpine zones on mountaintops, particular soil types or forest types, springs, and many other comparable situations. Individual organisms may periodically disperse from one population to another, facilitating genetic exchange between the populations. This group of different but interlinked populations, with each different population located in its own, discrete patch of habitat, is called a metapopulation.
There may be quite different levels of dispersal between the constituent populations of a metapopulation. For example, a large or overcrowded population patch is unlikely to be able to support much immigration from neighboring populations; it can, however, act as a source of dispersing individuals that will move away to join other populations or create new ones. In contrast, a small population is unlikely to have a high degree of emigration; instead, it can receive a high degree of immigration. A population that requires net immigration in order to sustain itself acts as a sink. The extent of genetic exchange between source and sink populations depends, therefore, on the size of the populations, the carrying capacity of the habitats where the populations are found, and the ability of individuals to move between habitats. Consequently, understanding how the patches and their constituent populations are arranged within the metapopulation, and the ease with which individuals are able to move among them is key to describing the population diversity and conserving the species.
Life history traits and their evolution
Individuals in a population experience a life cycle of birth, growth and development, maturity to adulthood, and then decline into reproductive senescence. How energy is allocated to these different aspects of the organisms survival is called their life history, and that energy allocation generates characteristic life history traits, traits that impact survival and reproductive output: size at birth, age at maturity, size at maturity, number and size of offspring (fecundity), reproductive value, lifespan and senescence, which we will define as the decline in fecundity with age. Life History Theory explains how evolution optimizes these survival and reproductive characteristics in different populations, answering questions like how big and fast should I grow, when should I reach sexual maturity, how many babies should I have each time I reproduce, how many times should I reproduce, and when should I die.
Notice that survival and reproduction are “optimized,” not maximized. This is because when evolution increases one of these traits, say survival of the parent, the result is usually a decrease in some aspect of reproduction, such as number of offspring produced each year, and vice versa. This optimization generates a life-history trade-off, depicted as a negative relationship between survival and reproduction (see figure below).
The leading hypothesis for trade-offs in survival and reproduction is that energy is the limiting factor: organisms have finite energy, so if they allocate energy toward survival, then they don’t have as much available to reproduce. As a result, some organisms like the Chinook salmon reproduce only once in their short lifetime, while others such as Atlantic Cod—and humans—reproduce many times.
The reproductive value of an individual of a given age is defined as the average number of offspring that will be produced. Reproductive value is influenced by the probability of survival as well as the probability of successful reproduction, and it increases through the onset of sexual maturity then declines with age. Natural selection acts most efficiently on age classes and life cycle stages with high reproductive value.
Life tables are a valuable tool to examine how age structure can change a population’s growth trajectory
Population demography is the study of numbers and rates in a population and how they change over time. The basic tool of demography is the life table. Life tables are an analytical tool that population ecologists use to study age-specific population characteristics such as survival, fecundity, and mortality. These data can be critical in conservation efforts (such as reintroductions or pest reductions) where ecologists would like to know how well an endangered or transplanted population is doing.
Life tables determine the number of individuals that survive from one age group to the next. Cohort life tables follow one group of individuals born at the same time, called a cohort, until the death of all individuals. This technique of demographic assessment requires key assumptions:
1) The population sample of each age class is proportional to its numbers in the population
2) Age-specific mortality rates remain constant during the time period, meaning that subsequent cohorts will exhibit similar pattern of birth and death.
Life Table:
The first row represents the birth year of the cohort, and each subsequent row of the life table shows that same group one year older. Assuming that the unit of age (x) is years, the number alive (nx) column indicates that not all individuals survive from year to year. Survivorship converts that mortality into a proportion alive of the original cohort (lx = nx/n0). The average number of offspring born to individuals of each age is age-specific fecundity, and it cannot be calculated from other information provided in the table but instead must be estimated from data.
Here’s the best bit and the reason we bother to gather all the age-specific survivorship and fecundity information: if the assumptions (1 and 2 above) are met, then the sum of the product of survivorship and fecundity at each age gives a population growth parameter called R0 (pronounced R-nought), defined as the net reproductive rate. When R0 exceeds 1, the population is producing more offspring than it is losing from deaths. In other words, the population is growing.
- Is the population above growing, shrinking, or stable?
- At what age is fecundity maximized? Survivorship?
Because of life history trade-offs, patterns of age-specific survival are predictive of the general life history of a population. While a life table shows the survivorship in a numerical form, assessing pattern from columns of data is difficult. Instead, ecologists create survivorship curves by plotting lx versus time.
Population biologists look for three types of patterns in survivorship curves (note that the y-axis is a log scale):
Type I curves are observed in populations with low mortality in young age classes but very high mortality as an individual ages. Type II curves represent populations where the mortality rate is constant, regardless of age. Type III curves occur in populations with high mortality in early age classes and very low mortality in older individuals. Populations displaying a Type III survivorship curve generally need to have high birth rates in order for the population size to remain constant. High birth rates ensure that enough offspring survive to reproduce, ensuring the population sustains itself. In contrast, populations characterized by a Type I survivorship curve often have low birth rates because most offspring survive to reproduce, and very high birth rates result in exponential population growth.